Prediction of Stroke-associated Pneumonia (PREDICT)
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ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01079728 |
Recruitment Status :
Completed
First Posted : March 3, 2010
Last Update Posted : January 4, 2022
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Stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) constitutes a clinically relevant complication of stroke, because it increases the mortality and has a negative impact on the neurological prognosis of the patient.
An early identification of patients at risk for SAP allowing an early initiation of antiinfective therapy may improve the prognosis. To date, no reliable prediction models or clinical scores for stroke-associated pneumonia exist. Recently, it was shown that parameters indicating an impaired immune function are associated with the subsequent occurrence of SAP and could therefore be used as predictors for SAP.
This study will develop and prospectively validate a prognostic score to predict SAP based on clinical parameters. Furthermore, the study examines the prognostic properties of selected immune and infectious parameters for the prediction and diagnosis of SAP. The study will further address the question whether these infectious and immune parameters predict the 3-month-outcome. In a subgroup of patients, MRI parameters on stroke size and localization will be assessed to investigate whether these parameters might allow prediction of SAP or the 3-month-outcome.
Condition or disease |
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Ischemic Stroke |
Study Type : | Observational |
Actual Enrollment : | 486 participants |
Observational Model: | Case-Only |
Time Perspective: | Prospective |
Official Title: | Prediction of Stroke-associated Pneumonia |
Study Start Date : | February 2010 |
Actual Primary Completion Date : | January 2013 |
Actual Study Completion Date : | April 2013 |

Group/Cohort |
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ischemic stroke patients
patients with an ischemic stroke in the anterior (ACA, MCA) and posterior flow area (PCA, BA) of any severity in the last 36h
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- Predictive score for SAP based on clinical parameters assessed within 36h after stroke onset [ Time Frame: SAP within 7 days after onset of symptoms (stroke) ]To establish a predictive score for SAP based on clinical parameters assessed within 36h after stroke onset
- Predictive properties of immune parameters (IL6, IL10, mHLA-DR) or infection parameters (PCT) for the occurrence of a SAP within 7 days after stroke onset [ Time Frame: SAP within 7 days after onset of symptoms (stroke) ]To evaluate of the predictive properties of immune parameters (IL6, IL10, mHLA-DR) or infection parameters (PCT) for the occurrence of a SAP within 7 days after stroke onset
- Predictive properties of immune parameters (IL6, IL8, IL10, mHLA-DR, MBL, monocytic cytokine secretion after ex vivo stimulation, C5a) and infection parameters (PCT, LBP) for the neurological outcome [ Time Frame: Neurological outcome 3 months after onset of symptoms (stroke) ]To evaluate of the predictive properties of immune parameters (IL6, IL8, IL10, mHLA-DR, MBL, monocytic cytokine secretion after ex vivo stimulation, C5a) and infection parameters (PCT, LBP) for the neurological outcome
- Plasma levels of acetylcholinesterase [ Time Frame: within 7 days after onset of symptoms (stroke) ]To investigate the parasympathetic influence on the immune function after stroke by measuring plasma levels of acetylcholinesterase
- Localization and stroke volume analysis [ Time Frame: SAP within 7 days and neurological outcome after 3 months after onset of symptoms (stroke) ]To investigate the influence of the localization and stroke volume on the occurrence of a SAP and on neurological outcome
- Predictive properties of immune parameters (IL6, IL8, IL10, mHLA-DR, MBL, monocytic cytokine secretion after ex vivo stimulation, C5a) and infection parameters (PCT, LBP) for the occurence of a SAP [ Time Frame: SAP within 7 days after onset of symptoms (stroke) ]To evaluate of the predictive properties of immune parameters (IL6, IL8, IL10, mHLA-DR, MBL, monocytic cytokine secretion after ex vivo stimulation, C5a) and infection parameters (PCT, LBP) for the occurence of a SAP
- Influence of insular cortex involvement and infarct volume on the occurrence of a SAP within 7 days and and on the neurological outcome after 3 months [ Time Frame: SAP within 7 days after onset of symptoms (stroke) and neurological outcome after 3 months ]To investigate the influence of insular cortex involvement and infarct volume on the occurrence of a SAP within 7 days after stroke onset and on the neurological outcome after 3 months
- Transcriptome analyses [ Time Frame: SAP within 7 days and neurological outcome after 3 months after onset of symptoms (stroke) ]To perform transcriptome analyses to identify new biomarkers which may predict the occurence of a SAP or the 3-month neurological outcome
Biospecimen Retention: Samples Without DNA

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Ages Eligible for Study: | 18 Years and older (Adult, Older Adult) |
Sexes Eligible for Study: | All |
Accepts Healthy Volunteers: | No |
Sampling Method: | Probability Sample |
Inclusion Criteria:
- ischemic stroke in the anterior (ACA, MCA) and posterior cerebral circulation (PCA, BA) of any severity
- stroke onset within the last 36h
- age ≥ 18
- consent by the patient or the legal representative
Exclusion Criteria:
- intracranial hemorrhage
- signs of infection at admission (clinical / paraclinical)
- pre-existing dysphagia
- mechanical ventilation at admission
- participation in an interventional trial

To learn more about this study, you or your doctor may contact the study research staff using the contact information provided by the sponsor.
Please refer to this study by its ClinicalTrials.gov identifier (NCT number): NCT01079728
Germany | |
Charite University (Center for Stroke Research Berlin CSB & NeuroCure Clinical Research Center NCRC) | |
Berlin, Germany, 10117 | |
Unfallkrankenhaus Berlin, Neurologie | |
Berlin, Germany | |
Vivantes Auguste Viktoria Klinikum Neurologie | |
Berlin, Germany | |
Vivantes Klinikum im Friedrichshain Neurologie | |
Berlin, Germany | |
Vivantes Klinikum Spandau Neurologie | |
Berlin, Germany | |
Vivantes Neukölln Neurologie | |
Berlin, Germany | |
Sankt Josefs Krankenhaus Potsdam Neurologie | |
Potsdam, Germany | |
Spain | |
Hospital Vall d'Hebron | |
Barcelona, Spain |
Principal Investigator: | Andreas Meisel, MD | Charite University Berlin (Center for Stroke Research Berlin CSB & NeuroCure Clinical Research Center NCRC) | |
Principal Investigator: | Peter Heuschmann, MD | Charité University Berlin (Center for Stroke Research Berlin CSB) |
Responsible Party: | Andreas Meisel, Professor Dr. med., Charite University, Berlin, Germany |
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: | NCT01079728 |
Other Study ID Numbers: |
PREDICT |
First Posted: | March 3, 2010 Key Record Dates |
Last Update Posted: | January 4, 2022 |
Last Verified: | December 2021 |
ischemic stroke stroke-associated pneumonia prediction immune and infection parameters |
Pneumonia Stroke Ischemic Stroke Cerebrovascular Disorders Brain Diseases Central Nervous System Diseases Nervous System Diseases |
Vascular Diseases Cardiovascular Diseases Respiratory Tract Infections Infections Lung Diseases Respiratory Tract Diseases |