Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 BNT162b2 Vaccine Effectiveness Study - Kaiser Permanente Southern California
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ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04848584 |
Recruitment Status :
Recruiting
First Posted : April 19, 2021
Last Update Posted : February 13, 2023
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Condition or disease | Intervention/treatment |
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COVID-19 | Biological: Primary Exposure Status of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine |
The primary objective of the study is to estimate vaccine effectiveness (VE) of 2 doses of Pfizer's BNT162b2 vaccine against acute respiratory illness (ARI) requiring hospitalization due to SARS-CoV-2 infection among KPSC members eligible for vaccination. VE will be evaluated using a test-negative design (TND), including all KPSC patients eligible for vaccination who are admitted to the hospital with (ARI) after 14 December 2020 (date of first vaccinations at KPSC), and who receive a PCR test for SARS-CoV-2. Secondary and exploratory objectives may examine VE for 1 dose vaccination, at least 1 dose, >2 doses as well as against ED admission, specific variants, mixed dosing schedules, durability, age cut-offs to align with regulatory authorizations/approvals and other populations of interest. Additionally, we will estimate VE using a full cohort design, including all KPSC members eligible for vaccination.
To assess VE, we propose a large retrospective database study using two parallel study de-signs: a test-negative case-control design and a retrospective cohort design. The TND will assess VE against COVID-19 hospitalization (primary endpoint) and ED admission. The retrospective cohort analysis may assess VE against COVID-19 hospitalization (primary), ICU admission, death, ED admission, and outpatient disease (with no subsequent hospitalization within 14 days). We may further conduct additional analyses of VE estimates by various patient characteristics and strain type
Study Type : | Observational |
Estimated Enrollment : | 999 participants |
Observational Model: | Case-Control |
Time Perspective: | Retrospective |
Official Title: | Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 BNT162b2 Vaccine Effectiveness Study - Kaiser Per-manente Southern California |
Actual Study Start Date : | May 15, 2021 |
Estimated Primary Completion Date : | March 31, 2023 |
Estimated Study Completion Date : | March 25, 2024 |

Group/Cohort | Intervention/treatment |
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Fully vaccinated
2 doses of BNT162b2 received with ≥7 days between receipt of the 2nd dose and the index date. This group will serve as the 'exposed' group evaluated in the primary objective.
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Biological: Primary Exposure Status of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine
Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine
Other Name: COVID VACCINE |
Partially vaccinated
1 dose (only) of BNT162b2 received with ≥14 days between receipt of the 1st dose and the index date.
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Biological: Primary Exposure Status of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine
Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine
Other Name: COVID VACCINE |
Ever vaccinated
≥1 dose of BNT162b2 received with ≥14 days between index date and receipt of the 1st dose
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Biological: Primary Exposure Status of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine
Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine
Other Name: COVID VACCINE |
Never vaccinated
never received BNT162b2. This group will serve as the reference exposure group (i.e., 'unexposed' group) in all VE analyses
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Biological: Primary Exposure Status of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine
Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine
Other Name: COVID VACCINE |
- VE calculated as 1 minus the odds ratio (OR) comparing the odds of being fully vaccinated (2 doses) with BNT162b2 for hospitalized cases and controls, multiplied by 100%. [ Time Frame: Dec 2020-Apr 2022, Through study completion, average of one month ]To estimate the effectiveness of 2 doses of BNT162b2 against hospitalization due to SARS-CoV-2 infection
- VE calculated as 1 minus the OR comparing the odds of being fully vaccinated (2 doses) with BNT162b2 for ED cases and controls, multiplied by 100%. [ Time Frame: Through study completion, average of one month ]To estimate the effectiveness of 2 doses of BNT162b2 against ED admission (without subsequent hospitalization) ED admission due to SARS-CoV-2 infection
- VE calculated as 1 minus the HR comparing the incidence of 2 doses with BNT162b2 for ICU ad-mission due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and not, multiplied by 100%. [ Time Frame: Through study completion, average of one month ]To estimate the effectiveness of 2 doses of BNT162b2 against ICU admission due to SARS-CoV-2 infection
- VE calculated as 1 minus the HR comparing the incidence of (2 doses with BNT162b2 for death due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and not, multiplied by 100%. [ Time Frame: Through study completion, average of one month ]To estimate the effectiveness of 2 doses of BNT162b2 against death due to SARS-CoV-2 infection
- VE calculated as 1 minus the HR comparing the incidence of 2 doses with BNT162b2 for COVID-19 outpatient visits (without subsequent hospitalization within 14 days) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and not, multiplied by 100%. [ Time Frame: Through study completion, average of one month ]To estimate the effectiveness of 2 doses of BNT162b2 against COVID-19 outpatient visits (without subsequent hospitalization within 14 days) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection
- VE calculated as 1 minus the HR comparing the incidence of only 1 dose of BNT162b2 for hospitalization, ED visit, death, and COVID-19 outpatient visits (without hospitalization within 14 days) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and not, multiplied by 100%. [ Time Frame: Through study completion, average of one month ]To describe the effectiveness of only 1 dose of BNT162b2 (i.e., partially vaccinated) against hospitalization, ED admission, ICU admission, death, and outpatient visits (without subsequent hospitalization within 14 days) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection
- VE calculated as 1 minus the HR comparing the incidence ≥1 dose of BNT162b2 for hospitalization, ED visit, death, and COVID-19 outpatient visits (without subsequent hospitaliza-tion within 14 days) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and not, multiplied by 100%. [ Time Frame: Through study completion, average of one month ]To describe the effectiveness of ≥1 dose of BNT162b2 (i.e., ever vaccinated) against hospitalization, ICU admission, ED admission, death, and outpatient visits (without subsequent hospitalization within 14 days) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection
- VE calculated as 1 minus the HR comparing the incidence of >2 doses of BNT162b2 for hospitaliza-tion, ED visit, death, and COVID-19 outpatient vis-its (without subsequent hospitalization within 14 days) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection, multiplied by 100%. [ Time Frame: Through study completion, average of one month ]To describe the effectiveness of >2 doses of BNT162b2 against hospitalization, ED admission, ICU admission, death, and outpatient visits (without subsequent hospital-ization within 14 days) due to SARS-CoV-2 infection.

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Ages Eligible for Study: | 5 Years and older (Child, Adult, Older Adult) |
Sexes Eligible for Study: | All |
Accepts Healthy Volunteers: | No |
Sampling Method: | Non-Probability Sample |
Inclusion Criteria for Test Negative Design
- KPSC patients eligible to receive BNT162b2 who are admitted to the hospital (primary objective and some secondary objectives) with acute respiratory infection (ARI; International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes) after 14 December 2020 (date of first vaccinations at KPSC), and who receive a PCR test for SARS-CoV-2.
- For secondary objectives estimating VE against ED admission, the TND will include KPSC patients eligible to receive BNT162b2 who present to the ED with ARI after 14 December 2020, and who receive a PCR test for SARS-CoV-2.
- We will include membership requirement of 1 year prior to index date, which is defined as the date of hospitalization or ED admission (allowing 31-day administrative gap), to facilitate accurate capture of comorbid conditions.
Inclusion Criteria for Cohort Design-
- All KPSC members as of 14 December 2020 (date of first Pfizer vaccination at KPSC) eligible to receive BNT162b2.
- For the cohort study, patients must have at least 1 year of membership (allowing 31-day administrative gap) prior to 14 December 2020 (index date, date vaccinations first began at KPSC) to facilitate accurate capture of comorbid conditions.
Exclusion Criteria Test Negative Design Patients who receive only another newly licensed or investigational SARS-CoV-2 vaccine or COVID-19 prophylactic agent other than Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine prior to hospitalization (or ED, for secondary objective) will be excluded from the study population When estimating VE for BNT162b2 vaccination, patients receiving another newly licensed or investigational SARS-CoV-2 vaccine or COVID-19 prophylactic agent other than Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine prior to hospitalization or ED will be excluded from the analysis. Patients will also be excluded if the index date is within certain time windows from vaccination date, outlined further in the exposure section below.
Exclusion Criteria for Cohort Design There will be no exclusion criteria for the cohort design, however patients will be censored for receiving any other newly licensed or investigational SARS-CoV-2 vaccine or COVID-19 prophylactic agent other than Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine

To learn more about this study, you or your doctor may contact the study research staff using the contact information provided by the sponsor.
Please refer to this study by its ClinicalTrials.gov identifier (NCT number): NCT04848584
Contact: Pfizer CT.gov Call Center | 1-800-718-1021 | ClinicalTrials.gov_Inquiries@pfizer.com |
United States, California | |
Kaiser Permanente Southern California | Recruiting |
Pasadena, California, United States, 91101 | |
Principal Investigator: Sara Tartof, PhD, MPH |
Study Director: | Pfizer CT.gov Call Center | Pfizer |
Publications automatically indexed to this study by ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier (NCT Number):
Responsible Party: | Pfizer |
ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: | NCT04848584 |
Other Study ID Numbers: |
C4591014 |
First Posted: | April 19, 2021 Key Record Dates |
Last Update Posted: | February 13, 2023 |
Last Verified: | February 2023 |
Individual Participant Data (IPD) Sharing Statement: | |
Plan to Share IPD: | No |
Plan Description: | Pfizer will provide access to individual de-identified participant data and related study documents (e.g. protocol, Statistical Analysis Plan (SAP), Clinical Study Report (CSR)) upon request from qualified researchers, and subject to certain criteria, conditions, and exceptions. Further details on Pfizer's data sharing criteria and process for requesting access can be found at: https://www.pfizer.com/science/clinical_trials/trial_data_and_results/data_requests. |
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated Drug Product: | Yes |
Studies a U.S. FDA-regulated Device Product: | No |
Product Manufactured in and Exported from the U.S.: | No |
COVID-19 Respiratory Tract Infections Infections Pneumonia, Viral Pneumonia Virus Diseases Coronavirus Infections Coronaviridae Infections |
Nidovirales Infections RNA Virus Infections Lung Diseases Respiratory Tract Diseases Vaccines Immunologic Factors Physiological Effects of Drugs |